Government says 40 percent of book publishing jobs are gone. Really?

Recently, Publishers Weekly looked at government statistics that show the number of publishing jobs has declined significantly over the last 30 years—by roughly 40 percent since 1997. The big question: Is it really as bad as it looks?

Employment in book publishing peaked in 1997 and didn’t decline in a big way until the recession of 2007–2009. The real bottoming out came in 2021, and the situation has improved a little bit since then.

Publishers Weekly’s interpretation? “There have been significant shifts, including new technology and consolidation, that make it difficult to compare today’s publishing industry to the industry that existed three decades ago.” As PW notes, while no one would dispute the industry has realized more “efficiencies” and shrunk due to consolidation, it’s hard to factor in how jobs may have migrated to other sectors, such as the self-publishing arena and freelancing, not to mention digital media and tech companies, which aren’t captured as part of traditional book publishing employment by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.