A publisher analyzes the “magic number” of sales required for business and self-help books

Todd Sattersten, publisher of Bard Press, starts his analysis by nothing that, in the business category, 86 percent of sales are backlist titles—a percentage that has only been growing. He then goes on to collect first-year sales data for titles released between 2012 and 2015 and finds that if a book didn’t sell 10,000 copies in its first year, there was only an 11 percent chance it would ever sell more than 10,000 copies. Read the full analysis.